Z HUMOR (55-1)
Just not one I can get into, except maybe if the track is sloppy. His big Beyers look phony, and his TG high (5) wouldn't get him close. Has reportedly looked good in the mornings, but that can only mean so much.
SMOOTH AIR (29-1)
The brief infection is obviously a concern, but you know what isn't? The fact that he got beaten 5 by Big Brown. Honestly, who would've done much better that day? His figures for the race (98 BSF, -3/4 TG) make him a contender in this, and he's certainly a fighter. I'm not too concerned about his pedigree, moreso of his size and conditioning with the missed training. Still using him, though more sparingly than I would've before the sickness.
BOB BLACK JACK (20-1)
Reminds the hell outta me of Sinister Minister. One-gear speed horse who will get overbet because of a big figure (109 BSF a few back). With the blinkers on especially, I think any dreams of him taking back are delusional. To his advantage, he didn't draw near any other speed, so he at least should be unmolested for the first furlong or so, but it's lights out for him come the second turn.
MONBA (18-1)
Another one I've gone back and forth on a few times, because although he's slow, he looks like the one-paced stayer that can often pick up a piece. But considering that he's got one terrible race and a handful of OK ones, I can't use him anywhere except the very bottom of exotics.
ADRIANO (35-1)
He's a nutcase with a turfy stride who didn't work all that well in his last try over the Churchill dirt. Prado's decision to ride is more an indictment of Tale of Ekati and Monba than it is a ringing endorsement of this colt. Distance shouldn't be a problem, but everything else should.
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