[NOTE: Just so we're clear, these profiles are rudimentary as hell, and I know it. When the final TG and Ragozin numbers are published for the contenders and the field takes shape after the Lexington, these will all be revisited and updated]
Derby Status: Going
Graded Earnings: $660,000
Future Odds: 6/1
Owner: WinStar Farm LLC
Trainer: Eoin G. Harty
Tiznow bay has taken nary a misstep since narrow second in debut last summer at DMR, yet to finish out of the exacta in six tries, and asserting self as one of Derby favorites with dazzling finish to score in G1 SA Derby on Saturday. Though he's definitely got a super closing kick and can adjust to different pace scenarios, obvious questions loom. Of course there's the question of how he'll run over conventional dirt, and then comes the issue of slow figures on resume. Even his impressive SA Derby triumph earning a BSF of just 95, and as mediocre as this class has been, we're pretty sure it's going to take at least a 100 to win the Derby. With that said, many have learned just to chuck synthetic figures, although that might not be all that wise considering the relatively short price on this colt. Speaks to the quality of this year's field that a horse with figures of 74, 85, 82, 93, 86 and 95 would be the third choice in the final future pool, doesn't it? First generation, he's bred to run all day, with Tiznow providing above average distance influence and Turkoman throwing routers all over the place on the dam side. As a damsire, Turkoman gets an Average Winning Distance of 9.34 furlongs on dirt, 9.18 overall, both remarkably high numbers. This dude certainly doesn't run like a horse that would mind an extra furlong, and love the way Harty has brought him along distance-wise (six furlongs, seven, eight-and-a-half, eight-and-a-half, nine, nine). He's got much to prove, which makes him a dicey proposition at 6/1, but he clearly is of the upper echelon in this field.
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