Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Contender Profile: Z Fortune

Okay, last one for the night, must get some sleep, as I'm still fuming over the Celtics' loss, and Oaks Day draws tomorrow!

Future Odds: 54/1
Owner: Zayat Stables LLC
Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen

Another future price that looks mighty tasty after the AR Derby, with this Siphon gray running a better race than Gayego in finishing second by three-quarters of a length. NY-bred colt reeled off three straight to start his career, then was hung four wide around both turns in the Risen Star and proved no match for Pyro, who was awesome that day. No one's quite sure what happened in the Rebel, but to his credit, that race represents his only significant misstep, and he bounced back in a big way at Oaklawn. He was three wide around both turns and was the only horse to make up significant ground on the frontrunners before flattening out a bit late. His TG figure for the AR Derby was big (-3/4). He's got the right style for the Derby, with enough tactical speed to allow him not to fall far out of it, but not too much to where he'll be caught on a hot pace. He's got sneaky distance breeding too, and like the way Asmussen has handled him since the OP race, with two easy half-mile breezes. Certainly should be fit enough, and barring any wiseguy money dumping, he'll be around 20/1. Will be using in exacta wagers.

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