Monday, April 28, 2008

Contender Profile: Tale of Ekati

"Derby Status" and "Graded Earnings" are irrelevant at this point, considering that I'll only be examining horses that will be in the gate on Saturday. On we go.

Future Odds: 18/1
Owner: Charles E. Fipke
Trainers: Barclay Tagg

The exact kind of horse where Beyer users and Thorograph users will disagree. Beyer users will say that his last (93 BSF) was to be expected, considering his previous figs (84, 82, 94, 95, 89). Thorograph heads, however, will say that his last (1/2 TG) was HUGE, considering his previous figs (5 1/2, 5 1/2, 5, 5, 5). I lean towards Jerry Brown's minions on this one, as I think it was quite the effort. While War Pass ran fast all the way around the track, Tale of Ekati got to live with a more manageable first quarter (:23.52), but it was three wide around a turn on a slow track, so adjust accordingly. Then, with Giant Moon and Texas Wildcatter moving early to his inside, Prado did the same thing, forcing Tale of Ekati to run his second quarter in :22.88 for a half in :46.40, and again, adjust accordingly with the glib surface. After rabbit Inner Light spit the bit, instead of sputtering behind a clear War Pass, Tale of Ekati kept to work, going three wide again, and eventually wearing down the gutsy frontrunner, finishing up in an understandably slow :40.44 for his last three furlongs. An impressive run. That had to be an extremely taxing effort, though to his credit, he's breezed twice since the race, including a snappy minute-and-change at KEE last Wednesday. Like the way he's been brought along distance-wise. Get the feeling that this dude is best suited to nine furlongs and under, although his second dam Maplejinsky won the Alabama, and produced champion filly Sky Beauty and was the second dam to Pleasant Home and the ill-fated Pine Island. Not too thrilled that Prado is riding fringe candidate Adriano instead of here, and one needs to expect some kind of effect off that last race. Wouldn't recommend him for the win or exacta, but would stop shy of excluding him entirely.

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